The semiconductor industry is considered one of the biggest beneficiaries of the AI boom. Investors therefore kept a close eye on the sector’s figures for the first three months of 2025. One thing became clear: the expansion of AI infrastructure continues to deliver good results for most chip companies – but the sword of Damocles in the form of impending US tariffs is still hanging over industry giants such as Nvidia & Co. Read more in today’s blog post.
All articles on the topic “Markets and opinions”

Can India step out from under China’s shadow?
India has been one of the fastest growing economies in the world for several years. Can it step out of China’s shadow or will it stay only a contender?

India-election: Government strengthened for upcoming challenges
In May, the general election in India brought a clear victory for former PM Modi. The Indian stock market increased almost continuously. Can the strong economic growth continue? More in our blog!
“Charts don’t tell the future. They tell stories”
The US and Europe are the two most important equity markets worldwide. In our article, we present 6 charts that show the difference between the European and US stock markets.

USA urges Japan to sign trade agreement quickly
Japan is currently on several levels in the spell of US President Donald Trump’s trade policy. Will there be a free trade agreement soon and what would such an agreement mean for the Japanese economy?

Technology share rally: USA head and shoulders above the rest
After a strong setback in December 2018, technology stocks made a brilliant comeback in the first four months of this year. ESPA STOCK TECHNO fund manager Bernhard Ruttenstorfer explains the reasons for the new price appreciation, from which the technology sector benefits and what must be considered when investing.
Country report – Croatia
Croatia has finally received the long-awaited investment grade rating. What’s next? Our senior fund manager Ivana Kunstek answers the most important questions.

IPOs in demand again
During the first quarter conditions for a stock market debut have improved. Recently big names have also increased expectations for further IPOs.
Transformation process in China
China accounts for just under 16% of world gross domestic product, making it the second largest economy in the world. Can this success story be continued – what speaks for and what against it?
What is it about dividends on stocks?
When share prices rise on the stock markets, investors are happy. How do dividend stocks work and what’s in it? In our blog post we give an overview of the main features of dividends.

Rivalry USA – China dominating the markets
The trade war between China and the USA reaches a new stage. With the announcement by US President Trump threatening to raise the penalty for Chinese imports to 25 percent, the fronts seem hardened. Will there be an early resolution of the trade dispute and what does a further escalation mean for the global economy?

Earnings Season: US stock markets climb to record levels after unexpectedly good figures
A US stock exchange peaked in the reporting season last week. In any case the first quarter was already doing exceptionally well. Whether and how long this pace can be maintained is questionable. Will the current phase on the US stock exchanges soon be nearing its end?

IMF Spring Meeting: Emerging Markets – What’s next?
The IMF Spring Meetings of the International Monetary Fund in Washington hosts events for emerging market investors. Our senior fund manager Felix Dornaus was there & reports on his most important impressions.
European banks: equity issues and lessons from the financial crisis
What has the financial crisis shown us and what lessons have policy makers learned about “too big to fail”? The Deutsche Bank Commerzbank merger offers a lot of conversation points.
Turkey after the local elections
The local elections in Turkey had been built up by President Erdogan to be a test of his policies. What do the results mean for Turkey’s economy?
Stable prospects for Central and Eastern Europe
The countries of Central, Eastern and Southeastern Europe are among the most important economic growth markets for Europe. How are the prospects for next year?
“The search for yield is ongoing”
“The search for returns continues” – What were the latest developments and what are the yields like?
Fund manager Bernd Stampfl gives the answers to the most important questions.
Continuing struggle for stable oil prices
Current situation on the oil market – in the previous week oil prices have been rising for four months.
There is currently a surge but how is the struggle for stable oil prices going? Interested ? Read on here.

Emerging markets corporate bond outlook 2019 + Video
What were the biggest challenges last year, and what are the opportunities in 2019? Emerging markets fund manager Péter Varga answers the most important questions.
USA still going strong
The US economy has developed very solidly since the financial crisis. The current expansion could soon become the longest in US history.
Currently the US remains strong but the key question is: Will it continue? Read on here!
Stabilization or downturn?
The majority of economic indicators point to a slowdown in global real economic growth.
How will this dichotomy between the market and the economic environment be resolved and will there be a stabilization?

Hungary: fiscal and monetary policy news
The European media has been paying attention to unorthodox economic policies in Hungary for years, supporting or opposing them depending where they stand on the political spectrum. At the same time Hungarian decision makers always stress they represent normality. Nowadays the question is: should we finally expect both monetary and fiscal policy normalization in the following years?

Trade dispute escalation averted for now
US President Trump postponed the deadline for new tariffs on imports from China. The key question is: Will there be an early resolution of the trade dispute between the US and China?
Decent, not thrilling – the reporting season in the US and Europe
What are the trends that have become apparent in the current reporting season in the US and Europe? Find out more in our new blog.

Brexit: The Final Countdown
Another Brexit defeat for Theresa May: How are things developing now? On February 27th the question arises: “May-Deal” or “No Deal”?

Constructive central banks
Risky asset classes such as equities have recorded price increases at the beginning of the year. The core question for the investor is: Is this recovery after the sharp decline in Q4 sustainable or not?

Latin America overview: Venezuela a classic debt rescheduling candidate
Oil production, state crisis, costly restructuring: Venezuela is in crisis. What’s next? Our analysts Christian Gaier & Felix Dornaus provide the answers.
Big Trouble in Little China?
Trade war, a possible cooling of the world economy and growing uncertainties at the home market: is the Chinese dragon spinning?
Romania – Nowhere to hide
The Presidency of the Council of the European Union caught Romania in a difficult position, both from a political and macroeconomic perspective. Now the question arises – Quo vadis Romania?

World Economic Forum Davos 2019: about economic downturn and trade war
In view of a trade war, the Brexit and the threat of an economic downturn, the World Economic Forum meeting this year was dominated by calls for increased international cooperation. Read here what Lagarde and Merkel had to say.

After the Brexit vote: 4 scenarios for the British pound
After the British House of Commons rejected the Brexit vote: How will things develop and what are the 4 scenarios for the British pound?
New year gains for stock markets as hopes for end of trade dispute increase
As hopes for an end to the trade war between the US and China increase, the stock markets reflected the sentiment with gains at the outset of the new year. Find out more in the new blog entry.
Ten theses for 2019
Read our recent blog post on the ten theses for financial market development in 2019. Is fear of a recession exaggerated?
Low Return on Assets – where can savers still find decent interest rates?
Many savers are fed up with investing their saved-up capital at low interest rates. The question everyone is asking themselves now is how to earn a good yield on one’s hard-earned capital in times of low interest rates like nowadays?
Stock markets in 2018 – market activity dominated by politics and volatility
2018 was a year of politics in the stock markets. Find out which three major topics dominated the international market activities in the current year.
Market remains cautious
The positive reaction to the agreement between the USA and China on not further escalating the trade conflict for the time being was only short-lived. Risky assets remain under pressure. A number of factors continue to burden the markets.
Economic outlook 2019: reasons to remain optimistic
Economic Outlook 2019: There are signs that the world economy will slow down next year. Read here why there are still reasons to be optimistic!

Slovakia: moving towards long-term sustainability?
The engine of the economy in Slovakia is running on a good momentum. In recent years it has been going through a cyclical upswing. Take a look at the drivers, but also consider potential threats going forward.
Brexit agreement ahead of vote in British Parliament
The “divorce agreement” of the British with the EU stands. At the highly anticipated EU Special Summit on Sunday, Britain and the EU agreed on their post-Brexit relations at the end of March 2019. Now only the vote in the British House of Commons is missing. It’s getting tight.

China’s future: long-term growth initiatives and dangerous asymmetries
The People’s Republic of China is one of the winners of globalisation – but the strong economic growth has also created asymmetries within the Chinese economy. Read more about how the “Made in China 2025”-strategy will help and what role the new silk road plays.
European banking overshadowed by Italian banks
The year started strongly for European markets with investors favoring Italian banks and stocks. But then came the budget proposal of the new Italian government, changing the mood abruptly. Read about it in our new blog!

Changes in the MSCI Emerging Markets Index
In 1988, MSCI Emerging Markets Index was launched and consisted of just 10 countries representing less than 1% of world market capitalization. Today the index consists of 24 countries representing 10% of world market capitalization. Read here about the changes expected until June 2020 to one of the most important global emerging markets equities index.
US Congressional election results
The outcome of the US Congressional election on Tuesday has caused some relief in the international financial markets. Read more about it in our blog.
Romania: losing its shine
On January 1st 2019, Romania will assume the Presidency of the Council of the European Union: an opportunity to regain its shine as a true growth champion and supporter of European values. But how is the country’s economy doing?

The technology cycle is not over for a while
How does Bernhard Ruttenstorfer, senior fund manager of our technology fund, see the future of technology shares? Find out here.
Financial markets 2018: reasons to be cautiously optimistic
The financial markets have been on the rocks in 2018. Read here why you should still keep a cautiously optimistic stance.
Mixed feelings on the US stock exchanges
After a good start to the US reporting season, the tide on the US stock exchanges turned last week. Find out more in our new blog.

Brazil: fundamentally sound companies despite political uncertainties
In the current environment of global uncertainties in emerging markets due to idiosyncratic events in Turkey and Argentina, the trade conflict between the USA and China and with regard to the presidential election, late September was probably one of the most exciting times to visit Brazil. Find out more in our latest blog entry.
US earnings season in full swing
The US earnings season is back in full swing. The first results for Q3 of 2018 are promising, particularly in the banking sector.

Attractive yields for emerging markets bonds in local currencies
On 17 October 2018, ERSTE BOND LOCAL EMERGING celebrated its 10th anniversary – a perfect time to have a closer look at the asset class “Emerging markets bonds in local currency ”. More in our Blog.

Stirred, not shaken – A first take on last week’s stock market meltdown
Last week, the S&P 500 lost more than 3%, followed by another loss of more than 2% on the next day. Read about the reasons behind this decrease in our new blog!