The US elections in November are not only important from a geopolitical perspective. The race between Joe Biden and Donald Trump for the presidency also influences events on the financial markets.
THIS AUTHOR'S POSTS
Labour day: High unemployment challenges economic policy-makers
It is now that we are becoming acutely aware of how important work is for us, with the job market data taking to centre stage on this year’s Labour Day. The number of people who are out of a job because of the pandemic has increased drastically. Numerous measures, such as reduced working hours in Austria, have been taken in an effort to contain the situation. We expect a positive trend reversal later in the year.
The long-term consequences of the corona pandemic – an analysis
The corona pandemic has plunged the world into an economic crisis. Erste AM chief economist Gerhard Winzer analyzes the 10 most important points about recovery, economic policy, inflation and the duration of the slump.
Coronacession
The world is in a state of emergency, with the corona pandemic constituting a global health, economic, and financial crisis. The term “Coronacession” has been created as a chimaera of corona and recession. The central question is how deep the emergency runs and how long it will last. The speed of the development is breath-taking. […]
Distortions on the financial market
The distortions on the financial market continue, and the prices of risky asset classes such as equities and corporate bonds with low credit quality are falling. Market prices have increasingly come to reflect a global recession.
Coronavirus: epidemic in China disrupts recovery scenario
Coronavirus: The economy is increasingly affected by the virus crisis. Will China’s economy be able to withstand the pressure despite resistance? Analysis by Erste AM chief economist Gerhard Winzer.
A recovering global economy?
The recovery of the world economy has become more likely: First AM chief economist Gerhard Winzer gives an outlook on whether the trend reversal is done.
Weak growth and risks
The recent confrontation between the USA and China in the areas of trade and currency management triggered temporary losses for risky asset classes such as equities. Are the negative implications of an ongoing USA-China conflict strong enough to set off a decline or even a recession?
Outlook for the second half of 2019
Many asset classes recorded significant gains. At the same time, the falling tendency of numerous economic indicators has suggested a slowdown in GDP growth. How do these two go together?
Transformation process in China
China accounts for just under 16% of world gross domestic product, making it the second largest economy in the world. Can this success story be continued – what speaks for and what against it?