Erste Asset Management

Rollercoaster ride continues – Update from the Investment Division

Rollercoaster ride continues – Update from the Investment Division
Rollercoaster ride continues – Update from the Investment Division
(c) unsplash
Share post:

What has occurred since yesterday (18.03.20)?

The markets continued their rollercoaster ride yesterday. The European markets closed down by 5-6% yesterday. The leading index in the USA (S&P500) also closed at -5.2%. However, not only were there large movements compared to the previous day, there were also large swings during the day. The S&P500 was already down 10%, but made up for almost half of its losses in the final hours of trading. To quote Benoit Mandelbrot once again, time is currently moving at a rapid pace in the markets.

Yields from investment-grade government bonds rose again yesterday. Currently, the yield on 10 year German government bonds is around -0.3% and the 10 year US government bond yield is 1.1%. The commodity markets also remain volatile.

What will we be observing in the coming days?

The two poles, which we have already reported on, on several occasions, continue to drive market activity and are also the stimuli that we will continue to monitor closely:

Firstly, the global spread of the virus and the associated containment measures that need to be taken by individual countries. These will lead/have led to supply chains being disrupted and a decline in demand. The latter can also be observed in high-frequency and “alternative data” in the USA: daily data from OpenTable, which measures the restaurant occupancy, which collapsed by 84%. Data from show that traffic in the USA has dropped significantly. This makes a recession very likely in the first half of the year.

Secondly, the contrasts with monetary and fiscal policy measures taken by central banks and governments. Yesterday, the European Commission announced another bond purchase program, under which an additional EUR 750 billion of bonds are to be purchased. President Lagarde said “extraordinary times require extraordinary measures- There are no limits to our commitment to the euro”. Yesterday, the US Senate debated the USD 1.3 trillion fiscal package proposed by President Trump.

Current data of the coronavirus from 19.03.2020 (Link here)



Legal disclaimer

This document is an advertisement. Unless indicated otherwise, source: Erste Asset Management GmbH. The language of communication of the sales offices is German and the languages of communication of the Management Company also include English.

The prospectus for UCITS funds (including any amendments) is prepared and published in accordance with the provisions of the InvFG 2011 as amended. Information for Investors pursuant to § 21 AIFMG is prepared for the alternative investment funds (AIF) administered by Erste Asset Management GmbH pursuant to the provisions of the AIFMG in conjunction with the InvFG 2011.

The currently valid versions of the prospectus, the Information for Investors pursuant to § 21 AIFMG, and the key information document can be found on the website under “Mandatory publications” and can be obtained free of charge by interested investors at the offices of the Management Company and at the offices of the depositary bank. The exact date of the most recent publication of the prospectus, the languages in which the key information document is available, and any other locations where the documents can be obtained are indicated on the website A summary of the investor rights is available in German and English on the website and can also be obtained from the Management Company.

The Management Company can decide to suspend the provisions it has taken for the sale of unit certificates in other countries in accordance with the regulatory requirements.

Note: You are about to purchase a product that may be difficult to understand. We recommend that you read the indicated fund documents before making an investment decision. In addition to the locations listed above, you can obtain these documents free of charge at the offices of the referring Sparkassen bank and the offices of Erste Bank der oesterreichischen Sparkassen AG. You can also access these documents electronically at

N.B.: The performance scenarios listed in the key information document are based on a calculation method that is specified in an EU regulation. The future market development cannot be accurately predicted. The depicted performance scenarios merely present potential earnings, but are based on the earnings in the recent past. The actual earnings may be lower than indicated. Our analyses and conclusions are general in nature and do not take into account the individual characteristics of our investors in terms of earnings, taxation, experience and knowledge, investment objective, financial position, capacity for loss, and risk tolerance.

Please note: Past performance is not a reliable indicator of the future performance of a fund. Investments in securities entail risks in addition to the opportunities presented here. The value of units and their earnings can rise and fall. Changes in exchange rates can also have a positive or negative effect on the value of an investment. For this reason, you may receive less than your originally invested amount when you redeem your units. Persons who are interested in purchasing units in investment funds are advised to read the current fund prospectus(es) and the Information for Investors pursuant to § 21 AIFMG, especially the risk notices they contain, before making an investment decision. If the fund currency is different than the investor’s home currency, changes in the relevant exchange rate can positively or negatively influence the value of the investment and the amount of the costs associated with the fund in the home currency.

We are not permitted to directly or indirectly offer, sell, transfer, or deliver this financial product to natural or legal persons whose place of residence or domicile is located in a country where this is legally prohibited. In this case, we may not provide any product information, either.

Please consult the corresponding information in the fund prospectus and the Information for Investors pursuant to § 21 AIFMG for restrictions on the sale of the fund to American or Russian citizens.

It is expressly noted that this communication does not provide any investment recommendations, but only expresses our current market assessment. Thus, this communication is not a substitute for investment advice, does not take into account the legal regulations aimed at promoting the independence of financial analyses, and is not subject to a prohibition on trading following the distribution of financial analyses.

This document does not represent a sales activity of the Management Company and therefore may not be construed as an offer for the purchase or sale of financial or investment instruments.

Erste Asset Management GmbH is affiliated with the referring Sparkassen banks and Erste Bank.

Please also read the “Information about us and our securities services” published by your bank.

Subject to misprints and errors.

Leave a comment Required fields are marked with *

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *