The semiconductor industry is considered one of the biggest beneficiaries of the AI boom. Investors therefore kept a close eye on the sector’s figures for the first three months of 2025. One thing became clear: the expansion of AI infrastructure continues to deliver good results for most chip companies – but the sword of Damocles in the form of impending US tariffs is still hanging over industry giants such as Nvidia & Co. Read more in today’s blog post.
All articles on the topic “Markets and opinions”
Dow Jones: A brief history of the crisis
As the world’s best-known stock index, the Dow Jones Industrial index provides an overview of the most serious crises from the perspective of the financial markets. History shows that a deep fall does not necessarily mean a long dry spell.
Increasing oil price – Update from the Investment Division
Yesterday the rise in oil prices was particularly noteworthy in the markets. What do rising oil prices mean for the global economy?
Our update from the Investment Division.

Lehman Brothers and Coronavirus -A (Preliminary) Tale of Two Crises
The Lehman Brothers crash in 2008, like the current corona virus crisis, had a massive impact on the stock markets. We look back and compare the two.

Positive summary of last week – Update from the Investment Division
What has occurred over the weekend? Equity markets had a good week. The US-equity index S&P 500 gained + 10,3%. Also the European markets gained significantly. The EuroStoxx 50 gained 7,5%. A bit negative were the losses on Friday (S&P 500 – 3,4%, EuroStoxx 50 – 4,2%). Volatility in the markets remained on a higher […]

For 3 day win streak – Update from the Investment Division
What has occurred since yesterday ? Global equity markets closed yesterday the third day in a row with strong gains. The US leading equity index increased by 6,2%. The European exchanges could see gains of 1% to 3%. The credit risk margins für High Yield Corporate Bonds decreased again considerably. Also on the markets where […]

“Mr. Market” two positive days in a row – Update from the Investment Division
What has occurred since yesterday ? Two positive days in a row on the American stock markets. Something we saw the last time on 11. + 12.2020. Mr. Market was in a good mood over the last two days. After the US-American equity index S&P500 gained almost 9% on Tuesday it increased also yesterday by […]
Bull movement – Update from the Investment Division
What has occurred since yesterday ? Bull movement. Prices of risky asset classes, e.g. equity increased. Of course the question remains if it is just a short, technical upward spurt or a stable base. The reason for the better mood in the market is the agreement in the USA on a USD 2000 billion stimulus […]
What is helicopter money?
While traditional monetary policy measures are also employed, the focus has recently shifted to a concept that has always been the subject of debate: helicopter money.
Father of value investing – Update from the Investment Division
What has occurred since yesterday ? Benjamin Graham focused on fundamental equity analysis and became widely known as the “father of value investing”. Equity should only be purchased at a discount to its fundamental value. In his book “The Intelligent Investor” Graham creates a character called Mr. Market, a fellow who turns up every day […]

Coronacession
The world is in a state of emergency, with the corona pandemic constituting a global health, economic, and financial crisis. The term “Coronacession” has been created as a chimaera of corona and recession. The central question is how deep the emergency runs and how long it will last. The speed of the development is breath-taking. […]
Restaurants & petrol stations: how do support measures for the economy work?
We’ve repeatedly reported on monetary and fiscal policy measures in recent weeks. Today we want to show the effect of economic stimulus packages with simple examples.

The ordinary becomes special – Update from the Investment Division
What has occurred since yesterday ? Sometimes the ordinary becomes something special. To prove the validity of this heuristic, we will use the database of our Bloomberg terminal once again. On the 24,060 trading days of the leading US index S&P500 since 1928, the average daily change has been +0.02%. In contrast, for almost a […]
Rollercoaster ride continues – Update from the Investment Division
Rollercoaster ride continues. What has occurred since yesterday? And what will we be observing in the coming days? Update from the Investment Division
Historic decline in US equity markets – Update from the Investment Division
What has occurred since yesterday (17.3.2020)? Yesterday´s update started with the advantages of the Bloomberg terminals and also today we used the huge data base. Yesterday we reported on the ten days where the American equity index S&P500 had its largest losses on the same day. These ten days occurred in six different years: 1929, […]
Is China back to work?
When do people in China return to work and how quickly will the economy recover from the coronavirus shock? Our senior fund manager Jenny Teng analyzes the current situation.
Living in volatile times – Coronavirus
The update of our Investment Division What has occurred since yesterday In his address to the National Union of South African Students in Capetown 1966 in regards to the US-American civil rights movement Robert F. Kennedy said the following: „There is a Chinese curse that says: “May he live in interesting times” If we want […]

20th anniversary of the dot-com bubble: The return of tech stocks
20 years later: The high point of the “dot-com bubble” is approaching. Stock markets and technology stocks plummeted at the time but investors were still able to make a small fortune. We take a look at the return of technology stocks.
Distortions on the financial market
The distortions on the financial market continue, and the prices of risky asset classes such as equities and corporate bonds with low credit quality are falling. Market prices have increasingly come to reflect a global recession.

Coronavirus: US rate cut and now what?
The corona virus leaves traces in financial market policy. The US Federal Reserve cut interest rates surprisingly early on Tuesday. Erste AM chief economist Gerhard Winzer explains this measure in our interview.

Coronavirus starting to affect global corporations
Coronavirus: The spread of the virus is the defining issue in the financial markets. Global corporations such as Apple, Adidas and AT&S are also suffering the economic consequences.
Turbulent start of the year for oil
Oil prices came under pressure at the beginning of the year. The consequences of the coronavirus in China were cited as the main reason for the fall in prices.
How does the struggle for a stable oil price continue?
First virtual chart analyst – bot learns to “look at” charts
The intuition of an experienced chart analyst contributes significantly to a correct forecast. With the help of around one million charts of shares, Erste AM trained the world’s first virtual chart analyst.

Coronavirus: epidemic in China disrupts recovery scenario
Coronavirus: The economy is increasingly affected by the virus crisis. Will China’s economy be able to withstand the pressure despite resistance? Analysis by Erste AM chief economist Gerhard Winzer.

Problem children vs. favourite children in Latin America
Fund Manager Peter Paul Pölzl gives a detailed outlook on the loved ones and problem children among the countries in Latin America. How are China’s economy and Latin America related?

Climate change and other challenges front and center at the WEF
At the World Economic Forum in Davos, topics from business, politics and science were discussed. However, climate protection received the most attention. How is the global economy doing?
And what is the outlook for 2020?
US banks report good and bad developments in the financial sector
The reporting season with the largest US banks started on Wall Street last week. Their results give a good impression of how the previous year went and what trends can be identified for this year.
Russian equities: attractive valuations and high dividend yield
After the strong stock market year 2019, the chances are good for further price gains on the Moscow stock exchange. The extremely low valuation of the shares and the high payout rates make Russian shares one of the most attractive stock market segments. Read more in the interview with ERSTE STOCK RUSSIA fund manager Alexandre Dimitrov.
2019 stock market review
Our 2019 stock market review: for investors around the world, 2019 was by and large a continuation of the previous year: the trade dispute between the US and China and the back and forth over Brexit remained the dominant topics.

Bargains, sales and dividends: Hopeful signs for US retail investors
Thanksgiving, Black Friday and Cyber Monday are considered to be the weeks with the highest retail sales. How can investors benefit from the US Christmas business?
Positive bottom line for our funds in 2019
Only a few weeks left and then 2019 is history. Thanks to booming stock exchanges and yet another increase in bond prices. Investors can look back on a pleasing balance sheet.
Demand in the oil market will not lose momentum until 2030
Against the background of the initial public offering of Saudi Aramco, the international energy agency predicts a robust demand for oil by 2025. Thereafter demand-dynamics will decline sharply due to increase in energy-efficient vehicles.
Artificial Intelligence as investment in the future
Artificial intelligence opens up new opportunities to invest. Which developments and companies are most interesting? And how is the best way to do it?
A recovering global economy?
The recovery of the world economy has become more likely: First AM chief economist Gerhard Winzer gives an outlook on whether the trend reversal is done.
FT Nordic Investor Outlook – Agile Investment in Uncertain Markets
The FT Nordic Investor Outlook 2019 was dedicated to the topic „Agile Investment in Uncertain Markets“. High caliber speakers were discussing China, ESG and Brexit.
Turkish economy caught between recovery and conflicts
The Turkish invasion in northern Syria and the conflict surrounding it with the USA put the lira under renewed pressure, raising concerns about the Turkish economy’s recovery.
Megatrend environment & clean energy: Leveraging the right kind of companies
Mobility, renewable energy, hydrogen – There are currently many megatrends to save the environment. How can we benefit ?

Just how golden is the Czech economy’s golden age?
Although the current phase of the czech economy is not utterly perfect, it can be called a golden age. What is behind all of this ?
Megatrend healthcare: medical care and costs as challenge
Healthcare has never been so important as it is today. Which changed living and consumption habits will influence our future the most?
No long-term consequences after brief panic in oil market
In the previous week crude oil prices have been the highest since 1991. How is the struggle for stable prices on the oil market going? First AM resource expert Alexander Weiss explains the current situation.

IFA: Smartphone manufacturers pin their hopes on new standard
New smartphones will dominate the international radio exhibition in Berlin until the middle of this week. What does the current market look like & what does that mean for technology stocks?
ARGENTINA CRIES (again) – Status Quo and Quo Vadis
The developments surrounding the election in Argentina & presidential challenger Alberto Fernandez are currently frightening investors. Are we looking at a “default”? Our fund manager Felix Dornaus analyzes the situation.

Weak growth and risks
The recent confrontation between the USA and China in the areas of trade and currency management triggered temporary losses for risky asset classes such as equities. Are the negative implications of an ongoing USA-China conflict strong enough to set off a decline or even a recession?

Looming hard Brexit pushes Pound further down
The hard brexit is described as the most economically unfavorable outcome. First effects can be seen with the Pound.
The Moon Landing – 50 years on: Are private companies taking over the space industry?
Adjusted for inflation, the moon landing cost far more than USD 100 bn by today’s standards. Nowadays the influence of private companies is skyrocketing. They are not just suppliers, but market leaders for many aspects.
“In 2040, 60% of all new cars will be electric” – Interview with equity fund manager
Equity fund manager Clemens Klein is interviewed about promising new environmental technologies and explains what investing in renewable forms of energy can do to help the environment.

Capital market outlook – expansive central banks fuelling risk appetite among investors
At the beginning of July, important stock market indices reached new all time highs. How will economic growth continue & in which asset classes does Erste Asset Management see the best investment opportunities?
Arguments for a continuation of China’s growth story
Why the trade war with the US does not mean the end of the development story and what speaks for the continuation of China’s growth story.
Outlook for the second half of 2019
Many asset classes recorded significant gains. At the same time, the falling tendency of numerous economic indicators has suggested a slowdown in GDP growth. How do these two go together?

Mercosur – EU: Largest free trade zone in the world
After 20 years of negotiation the EU and the South American trade bloc Mercosur announced the formation of the world’s largest free trade zone. The agreement is controversial.

Fund manager-Interview: Turkey after the victory of the opposition in Istanbul
After the victory of opposition politician Ekrem Imamoglu in the mayoral elections in Istanbul, hope is spreading. Alexandre Dimitrov, fund manager of ESPA STOCK ISTANBUL, explains Turkey’s chances for an economic turnaround.