All articles on the topic “Markets”
Postitive end of the week – Update from the Investment Division
The end of the week on the stock markets was more positive than the beginning of last week. Update from the Investment Division.
Musk launches Tesla production – Update from the Investment Division
What has occurred since the yesterday ? Elon Musk has always been a colorful character. Until now, he could also adorn himself with the fact that his products help save the world. Especially the Tesla electric cars. Yesterday he added another chapter to his extraordinary story by announcing that he will resume production at the […]
Slow economic recovery – Update from the Investment Division
On Friday the markets for risky assets received a double boost. The reason for this is a rapid economic recovery after the sharp containment measures. Update from the Investment Division.
Trade deal between USA and China – Update from the Investment Division
What has occurred since yesterday ? The global equity markets closed yesterday in positive territory. The US markets could see gains of ca. 1%. In Europe the gains were ca. 1,5%. In the last days the trade conflict between the USA and China overshadowed the markets once again. However, from that corner came positive news […]
Fiscal- and monetary policies – Update from the Investment Division
What has occurred since yesterday ? Gus Backus celebrated in the 1960s some successes in the German Pop music charts. It is remarkable that in the 50s he also scored two top ten hits in the USA. In the chorus in one of his songs he sings: “Who should pay that, who ordered that, who […]
ECB bond purchases unconstitutional – Update from the Investment Division
What has occurred since yesterday ? Yesterday the German Constitutional Court has ruled that the Asset Purchase Program of the European Central Bank partly violates the German constitution. Via that program bonds of more than two trillion Euros were purchased since 2015 to bring liquidity to the markets and the economy. As the German constitutional […]
„Rough, nice and easy“ – Update from the Investment Division
What has occurred since the long weekend? The song „Proud Mary“was written by John Fogerty, the front man of the rock band Creedence Clearwater Revivial. There are many cover versions of this song. The best known is probably from Tina Turner. That version starts with the line “…we’re gonna take the beginning of this song […]
Losses at beginning of week – Update from the Investment Division
What has occurred since the long weekend? Last week began on a positive note in the markets for risk assets. The US leading index, S&P500, gained 3.6% from Monday to Wednesday. This was triggered by the following positive news: In a study, the drug Remdesivir showed success in treating COVID-19 patients. The US Federal Reserve’s […]
High volatility also in the price of gold
Gold plays a role as a “safe haven” in times of crisis. But the price is anything but stable.
Labour day: High unemployment challenges economic policy-makers
It is now that we are becoming acutely aware of how important work is for us, with the job market data taking to centre stage on this year’s Labour Day. The number of people who are out of a job because of the pandemic has increased drastically. Numerous measures, such as reduced working hours in Austria, have been taken in an effort to contain the situation. We expect a positive trend reversal later in the year.
Corona crisis dampens expectations for business figures
The first reporting season of 2020 in the USA is dominated by the corona crisis. What trends can be seen from the Q1 figures for the rest of the year?

The long-term consequences of the corona pandemic – an analysis
The corona pandemic has plunged the world into an economic crisis. Erste AM chief economist Gerhard Winzer analyzes the 10 most important points about recovery, economic policy, inflation and the duration of the slump.
Argentina cries (again) – Update from the Investment Division
Argentina is crying (again): This time not for Eva Peron – but Argentina’s plans for debt restructuring are meeting with resistance. Update from the Investment Division.
Upward trend at the beginning of the week – Update from the Investment Division
At the beginning of the week stock markets continue the upward trend of the previous week and the WTI oil price falls in double digits to a multi-year low. What will we see this week?
Corona and the oil market
The oil market won’t escape the corona virus unscathed either. Within only two weeks, oil recorded its best and its worst day of the millennium so far.
Stock market rally– Update from the Investment Division
What has occurred since yesterday ? Markets Stock markets continued to rally yesterday. Europe was up slightly by 0.65%. USA clearly in positive territory at approx. 3%. Asia is slightly in negative territory as of this morning. The oil price fell back down to USD 20.30 (WTI). Gold remained strong at USD 1720 per ounce. […]
Easter weekend with a difference – Update from the Investment Division
What has occurred since last Friday ? This Easter weekend was quite different compared to other Easter weekends of the past. Even if our countries will be on the forefront to loosen the lock-down over the next months not much could be felt from any resurrection yet. At least the OPEC-countries and their allies including […]
Reduction in Covid-19 deaths – Update from the Investment Division
What has occurred over the weekend ? On Friday and also over the weekend some movement happened in the talks between Russia and Saudi Arabia about possible oil production cuts. After the last talks of OPEC+ about a month ago ended without an agreement between those two countries Saudi Arabia increased the oil production unilaterally. […]
Increasing oil price – Update from the Investment Division
Yesterday the rise in oil prices was particularly noteworthy in the markets. What do rising oil prices mean for the global economy?
Our update from the Investment Division.

Lehman Brothers and Coronavirus -A (Preliminary) Tale of Two Crises
The Lehman Brothers crash in 2008, like the current corona virus crisis, had a massive impact on the stock markets. We look back and compare the two.

Positive summary of last week – Update from the Investment Division
What has occurred over the weekend? Equity markets had a good week. The US-equity index S&P 500 gained + 10,3%. Also the European markets gained significantly. The EuroStoxx 50 gained 7,5%. A bit negative were the losses on Friday (S&P 500 – 3,4%, EuroStoxx 50 – 4,2%). Volatility in the markets remained on a higher […]

For 3 day win streak – Update from the Investment Division
What has occurred since yesterday ? Global equity markets closed yesterday the third day in a row with strong gains. The US leading equity index increased by 6,2%. The European exchanges could see gains of 1% to 3%. The credit risk margins für High Yield Corporate Bonds decreased again considerably. Also on the markets where […]

“Mr. Market” two positive days in a row – Update from the Investment Division
What has occurred since yesterday ? Two positive days in a row on the American stock markets. Something we saw the last time on 11. + 12.2020. Mr. Market was in a good mood over the last two days. After the US-American equity index S&P500 gained almost 9% on Tuesday it increased also yesterday by […]
Bull movement – Update from the Investment Division
What has occurred since yesterday ? Bull movement. Prices of risky asset classes, e.g. equity increased. Of course the question remains if it is just a short, technical upward spurt or a stable base. The reason for the better mood in the market is the agreement in the USA on a USD 2000 billion stimulus […]
What is helicopter money?
While traditional monetary policy measures are also employed, the focus has recently shifted to a concept that has always been the subject of debate: helicopter money.
Father of value investing – Update from the Investment Division
What has occurred since yesterday ? Benjamin Graham focused on fundamental equity analysis and became widely known as the “father of value investing”. Equity should only be purchased at a discount to its fundamental value. In his book “The Intelligent Investor” Graham creates a character called Mr. Market, a fellow who turns up every day […]

Coronacession
The world is in a state of emergency, with the corona pandemic constituting a global health, economic, and financial crisis. The term “Coronacession” has been created as a chimaera of corona and recession. The central question is how deep the emergency runs and how long it will last. The speed of the development is breath-taking. […]
Restaurants & petrol stations: how do support measures for the economy work?
We’ve repeatedly reported on monetary and fiscal policy measures in recent weeks. Today we want to show the effect of economic stimulus packages with simple examples.

The ordinary becomes special – Update from the Investment Division
What has occurred since yesterday ? Sometimes the ordinary becomes something special. To prove the validity of this heuristic, we will use the database of our Bloomberg terminal once again. On the 24,060 trading days of the leading US index S&P500 since 1928, the average daily change has been +0.02%. In contrast, for almost a […]
Rollercoaster ride continues – Update from the Investment Division
Rollercoaster ride continues. What has occurred since yesterday? And what will we be observing in the coming days? Update from the Investment Division
Historic decline in US equity markets – Update from the Investment Division
What has occurred since yesterday (17.3.2020)? Yesterday´s update started with the advantages of the Bloomberg terminals and also today we used the huge data base. Yesterday we reported on the ten days where the American equity index S&P500 had its largest losses on the same day. These ten days occurred in six different years: 1929, […]
Is China back to work?
When do people in China return to work and how quickly will the economy recover from the coronavirus shock? Our senior fund manager Jenny Teng analyzes the current situation.
Living in volatile times – Coronavirus
The update of our Investment Division What has occurred since yesterday In his address to the National Union of South African Students in Capetown 1966 in regards to the US-American civil rights movement Robert F. Kennedy said the following: „There is a Chinese curse that says: “May he live in interesting times” If we want […]
Distortions on the financial market
The distortions on the financial market continue, and the prices of risky asset classes such as equities and corporate bonds with low credit quality are falling. Market prices have increasingly come to reflect a global recession.

Coronavirus: US rate cut and now what?
The corona virus leaves traces in financial market policy. The US Federal Reserve cut interest rates surprisingly early on Tuesday. Erste AM chief economist Gerhard Winzer explains this measure in our interview.

Coronavirus starting to affect global corporations
Coronavirus: The spread of the virus is the defining issue in the financial markets. Global corporations such as Apple, Adidas and AT&S are also suffering the economic consequences.
Turbulent start of the year for oil
Oil prices came under pressure at the beginning of the year. The consequences of the coronavirus in China were cited as the main reason for the fall in prices.
How does the struggle for a stable oil price continue?

Coronavirus: epidemic in China disrupts recovery scenario
Coronavirus: The economy is increasingly affected by the virus crisis. Will China’s economy be able to withstand the pressure despite resistance? Analysis by Erste AM chief economist Gerhard Winzer.

Climate change and other challenges front and center at the WEF
At the World Economic Forum in Davos, topics from business, politics and science were discussed. However, climate protection received the most attention. How is the global economy doing?
And what is the outlook for 2020?
US banks report good and bad developments in the financial sector
The reporting season with the largest US banks started on Wall Street last week. Their results give a good impression of how the previous year went and what trends can be identified for this year.
2019 stock market review
Our 2019 stock market review: for investors around the world, 2019 was by and large a continuation of the previous year: the trade dispute between the US and China and the back and forth over Brexit remained the dominant topics.
Positive bottom line for our funds in 2019
Only a few weeks left and then 2019 is history. Thanks to booming stock exchanges and yet another increase in bond prices. Investors can look back on a pleasing balance sheet.
Demand in the oil market will not lose momentum until 2030
Against the background of the initial public offering of Saudi Aramco, the international energy agency predicts a robust demand for oil by 2025. Thereafter demand-dynamics will decline sharply due to increase in energy-efficient vehicles.
FT Nordic Investor Outlook – Agile Investment in Uncertain Markets
The FT Nordic Investor Outlook 2019 was dedicated to the topic „Agile Investment in Uncertain Markets“. High caliber speakers were discussing China, ESG and Brexit.
Turkish economy caught between recovery and conflicts
The Turkish invasion in northern Syria and the conflict surrounding it with the USA put the lira under renewed pressure, raising concerns about the Turkish economy’s recovery.

Just how golden is the Czech economy’s golden age?
Although the current phase of the czech economy is not utterly perfect, it can be called a golden age. What is behind all of this ?
No long-term consequences after brief panic in oil market
In the previous week crude oil prices have been the highest since 1991. How is the struggle for stable prices on the oil market going? First AM resource expert Alexander Weiss explains the current situation.

IFA: Smartphone manufacturers pin their hopes on new standard
New smartphones will dominate the international radio exhibition in Berlin until the middle of this week. What does the current market look like & what does that mean for technology stocks?
ARGENTINA CRIES (again) – Status Quo and Quo Vadis
The developments surrounding the election in Argentina & presidential challenger Alberto Fernandez are currently frightening investors. Are we looking at a “default”? Our fund manager Felix Dornaus analyzes the situation.

Weak growth and risks
The recent confrontation between the USA and China in the areas of trade and currency management triggered temporary losses for risky asset classes such as equities. Are the negative implications of an ongoing USA-China conflict strong enough to set off a decline or even a recession?