Annualised real global GDP growth amounts to slightly above 3%. The composition of growth is not homogenuous. While the US economy grows strongly, the weakening loan growths puts weight on the economic activity in China. Find out more in the current yield radar.
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Yield opportunities on the bond markets: January 2019
For all of 2018, all asset classes except for euro government bonds suffered substantial losses. The risk of further rate hikes seems unlikely at the moment.
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Yield opportunities on the bond markets: December 2018
Real global GDP-growth has already fallen to 2.8% in Q3 2018. A number of economic indicators are suggesting that this trend will continue. For example the flattening yield curve in the US indicates that market participants expect a slowdown in economic activity.
Dividend yield beats bond yield
The share price performance in emerging Europe, i.e. Poland, the Czech Republic, Hungary, Russia, Turkey, and since most recently again, Greece, has not been overwhelming in the past years. Since the middle of 2011 the MSCI Emerging Europe, the most important index for the region, had been locked into a sideways movement, which was topped […]
Ethical, environmentally conducive, lucrative: what is sustainable investment?
I have my ethics and morals: more and more people want to invest their capital ecologically and ethically. What is sustainable investment and how does it work?
Financial Markets Monitor July: an independent view
In the beginning of July our Investment Committee held its monthly meeting. Despite a largely negative month on the markets, our risk stance has hardly changed relative to the previous month.
Strong growth and rising rates
At the beginning of 2018, economic indicators are confirming the recovery scenario. Above all, the yields of government bonds are on the rise. Why is that the case, and what does it mean for the financial market as a whole?
My impressions from IMF meeting in Washington: Emerging markets “alive and kicking”
The spring meeting of the International Monetary Fund was held in Washington from 20 to 23 April. This event was the reason for an investor conference that I attended in order to get an idea of the status quo of the global economy as well as of risks and opportunities.
Changes in the market regime
The big trends of the past weeks such as the appreciation of the US dollar, the weakening oil price, falling yields, and the outperformance of Eurozone equities have reversed in the past days and weeks, in some cases drastically so. What is behind all of this? When both demand (i.e. economic growth) and supply (i.e. […]
Market and fundamentals
Weak growth Real global economic growth was surprisingly weak in Q1. The preliminary estimate for the annualised growth rate of Q4 2014 to Q1 2015 is only 1.5%. This is mainly due to disappointingly weak growth of the GDP in the USA (+0.2%), in China (+5.3%), in the UK (+1.2%), and in Japan (+1.5%; estimate). […]