Skip navigation

Economy, geopolitics and AI – that was the World Economic Forum in Davos

Updated 15 Hours ago

Economy, geopolitics and AI – that was the World Economic Forum in Davos
The logo of the World Economic Forum is seen on a building before the annual meeting of the World Economic Forum, WEF, in Davos, Switzerland, on Sunday January 19, 2025. The World Economic Forum annual meeting brings together entrepreneurs, scientists, corporate and political leaders in Davos and takes place from January 20 to 24 in Davos. (KEYSTONE/Michael Buholzer)
(c) APA-Images / Keystone / MICHAEL BUHOLZER

Last week, as every year, leading politicians and economic experts from all over the world met at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, to discuss solution strategies for global problems. Hundreds of economists, business leaders and top politicians gathered in the Alpine village to discuss the key topics of the global economy, trade and artificial intelligence under this year’s motto “In the spirit of dialog”.

However, this year’s forum was dominated by the Greenland dispute and the appearance of US President Donald Trump. He had initially called for “immediate negotiations on the takeover of Greenland” and threatened punitive tariffs, but did an about-turn shortly afterwards. According to Trump, he had secured unrestricted US access to Greenland in a NATO agreement. The threat of punitive tariffs was also withdrawn.

Note: Forecasts are not a reliable indicator of future developments.

Macron warns against imperial ambitions

But apart from Trump, there were also numerous prominent participants with contributions on geopolitics and the global economy. In Davos, French President Emmanuel Macron warned of a global shift away from norms and international law. The world is experiencing a “shift towards a world without rules, in which international law is being trampled underfoot and in which the only law that seems to count is that of the strongest”. So-called “imperial ambitions” are returning.

Macron described the “endless accumulation of new tariffs” as “fundamentally unacceptable, all the more so when they are used as a means of pressure against territorial sovereignty”. Macron also warned against “merciless competition” on the part of the USA, which aims to “weaken and subordinate Europe”.

French President Emmanuel Macron during his speech at the World Economic Forum. (c) APA-Imaces / AFP / LUDOVIC MARIN

In Davos, EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen warned Trump against plunging transatlantic relations into a downward spiral because of Greenland. At the same time, she stressed that Europe must accelerate its independence efforts at all levels – from security to the economy, from defense to democracy. “Because the world has changed permanently. We must change with it,” she said.

IMF chief calls for increased growth efforts

The head of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), Kristalina Georgiewa, called for increased global growth efforts at the World Economic Forum. Although the IMF has recently raised its forecast for global economic growth slightly, the expected growth is not sufficient.

It is important not to lean back in complacency: “Growth is not strong enough,” she emphasized at the forum. This also applies in view of the high level of debt in many countries, which is hanging around their necks like a millstone. Government debt worldwide is heading towards 100 percent of global GDP and at the same time economic growth is not strong enough: “We have a problem here,” said Georgieva. More attention must also be paid to those countries that are falling behind in the global economy.

According to the head of the IMF, the global economy must also prepare for further shocks. It is to be expected that there will be further shocks, including economic ones, said Georgieva in Davos. At the same time, she spoke out against excessive regulation. The IMF is against excessive regulation that stifles the willingness to take risks and private initiative.

IMF has recently raised economic forecasts

The IMF recently presented new economic forecasts , raising its estimate for global economic growth in the current year from 3.1% to 3.3%. For 2027, the IMF is forecasting growth of 3.2%. In a long-term comparison, the estimates are rather low. In addition to China and India , the IMF also sees the USA, where a lot of money is flowing into the development of artificial intelligence (AI) , as a growth driver . According to the IMF report, Germany no longer stands out negatively and is expected to grow by over one percent, which is likely to be primarily due to government stimulus for the economy.

Note: Forecasts are not a reliable indicator of future developments.

The World Bank is forecasting economic growth of just 2.6 percent this year and 2.7 percent in 2027. At the same time, the organization recently warned that overall growth is too weak to combat extreme poverty and is too heavily concentrated in industrialized countries.

Elon Musk was one of the many prominent company bosses in Davos this year. At the forum, the tech billionaire held out the prospect that his electric car company Tesla could start selling humanoid robots by the end of 2027. His robots are already carrying out simple tasks in the production of electric cars. Musk expects the machines to be on sale to the public by the end of next year. In view of dwindling electric car sales, Musk has recently said several times that he sees the future of Tesla in robots and robot cabs.

 

Legal disclaimer

This document is an advertisement. Unless indicated otherwise, source: Erste Asset Management GmbH. The language of communication of the sales offices is German and the languages of communication of the Management Company also include English.

The prospectus for UCITS funds (including any amendments) is prepared and published in accordance with the provisions of the InvFG 2011 as amended. Information for Investors pursuant to § 21 AIFMG is prepared for the alternative investment funds (AIF) administered by Erste Asset Management GmbH pursuant to the provisions of the AIFMG in conjunction with the InvFG 2011.

The currently valid versions of the prospectus, the Information for Investors pursuant to § 21 AIFMG, and the key information document can be found on the website www.erste-am.com under “Mandatory publications” and can be obtained free of charge by interested investors at the offices of the Management Company and at the offices of the depositary bank. The exact date of the most recent publication of the prospectus, the languages in which the fund prospectus or the Information for Investors pursuant to Art 21 AIFMG and the key information document are available, and any other locations where the documents can be obtained are indicated on the website www.erste-am.com. A summary of the investor rights is available in German and English on the website www.erste-am.com/investor-rights and can also be obtained from the Management Company.

The Management Company can decide to suspend the provisions it has taken for the sale of unit certificates in other countries in accordance with the regulatory requirements.

Note: You are about to purchase a product that may be difficult to understand. We recommend that you read the indicated fund documents before making an investment decision. In addition to the locations listed above, you can obtain these documents free of charge at the offices of the referring Sparkassen bank and the offices of Erste Bank der oesterreichischen Sparkassen AG. You can also access these documents electronically at www.erste-am.com.

Our analyses and conclusions are general in nature and do not take into account the individual characteristics of our investors in terms of earnings, taxation, experience and knowledge, investment objective, financial position, capacity for loss, and risk tolerance. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of the future performance of a fund.

Please note: Investments in securities entail risks in addition to the opportunities presented here. The value of units and their earnings can rise and fall. Changes in exchange rates can also have a positive or negative effect on the value of an investment. For this reason, you may receive less than your originally invested amount when you redeem your units. Persons who are interested in purchasing units in investment funds are advised to read the current fund prospectus(es) and the Information for Investors pursuant to § 21 AIFMG, especially the risk notices they contain, before making an investment decision. If the fund currency is different than the investor’s home currency, changes in the relevant exchange rate can positively or negatively influence the value of the investment and the amount of the costs associated with the fund in the home currency.

We are not permitted to directly or indirectly offer, sell, transfer, or deliver this financial product to natural or legal persons whose place of residence or domicile is located in a country where this is legally prohibited. In this case, we may not provide any product information, either.

Please consult the corresponding information in the fund prospectus and the Information for Investors pursuant to § 21 AIFMG for restrictions on the sale of the fund to American or Russian citizens.

It is expressly noted that this communication does not provide any investment recommendations, but only expresses our current market assessment. Thus, this communication is not a substitute for investment advice.

This document does not represent a sales activity of the Management Company and therefore may not be construed as an offer for the purchase or sale of financial or investment instruments.

Erste Asset Management GmbH is affiliated with the Erste Bank and austrian Sparkassen banks.

Please also read the “Information about us and our securities services” published by your bank.