Erste Asset Management Investment Blog

Stock market rally– Update from the Investment Division

Stock market rally– Update from the Investment Division
(c) unsplash

What has occurred since yesterday ?

Markets

Stock markets continued to rally yesterday. Europe was up slightly by 0.65%. USA clearly in positive territory at approx. 3%. Asia is slightly in negative territory as of this morning. The oil price fell back down to USD 20.30 (WTI). Gold remained strong at USD 1720 per ounce. EUR/USD remained at 1.09. Risk premiums on bonds tended to fall further.

Stress test

After the Easter holidays, as in many other countries today, school resumed in Austria. Home-schooling 2.0. In our private fully occupied home schooling office, this means our young swans can now also organize their own video conferences with their respective school classes via zoom. This means that up to four Telcos will be running simultaneously at our home. A stress test at least for our WLAN. Apart from the challenges that come with it, the teachers will soon recognize the advantages of this new method – one of them is that you can mute individual or all participants…

Outlook

The IMF released its semi-annual reports yesterday on the economic environment (World Economic Outlook) and financial stability (Global Financial Stability Report). One of the key messages is that the Great Lockdown has triggered the greatest global recession since the Great Depression of the 1930s. The People’s Bank of China (POC) has lowered the one-year interest rate on its medium-term lending facility by 20BP to 2.95%. Sounds unspectacular, but it may not be. It represents an additional one of several interest rate cuts. Our Chief Economist Gehard Winzer believes that this is an indication that China is preparing another strong stimulus. Positive for China, emerging markets and the global economy.

Precaution

As announced in yesterday’s update, the reporting season for US companies has begun for the first quarter. The results of the two major banks, JPMorgan and Wells Fargo, were eagerly awaited yesterday. Both banks have put billions of dollars on the books as a precaution against impending loan defaults (JPMorgan over USD 8 Billion, Wells Fargo USD 4 Billion). This means, however, that these amounts are missing on the profit side. As a result, profits at both banks have fallen significantly (by up to 90% depending on the comparable period). The shares of both companies also fell significantly over the course of trading (JPM -2.7%, WF -4%). We expect the reporting season to not only provide information on the economic scale, but also to separate the wheat from the chaff. Amazon closed yesterday at a new all-time high.

Our dossier on coronavirus with analyses: https://blog.en.erste-am.com/dossier/coronavirus/

Legal note:
Prognoses are no reliable indicator for future performance.

DOSSIER

RESPOND TO THE ARTICLE

Legal disclaimer

This document is an advertisement. Unless indicated otherwise, source: Erste Asset Management GmbH. The language of communication of the sales offices is German and the languages of communication of the Management Company also include English.

The prospectus for UCITS funds (including any amendments) is prepared and published in accordance with the provisions of the InvFG 2011 as amended. Information for Investors pursuant to § 21 AIFMG is prepared for the alternative investment funds (AIF) administered by Erste Asset Management GmbH pursuant to the provisions of the AIFMG in conjunction with the InvFG 2011.

The currently valid versions of the prospectus, the Information for Investors pursuant to § 21 AIFMG, and the key information document can be found on the website www.erste-am.com under “Mandatory publications” and can be obtained free of charge by interested investors at the offices of the Management Company and at the offices of the depositary bank. The exact date of the most recent publication of the prospectus, the languages in which the key information document is available, and any other locations where the documents can be obtained are indicated on the website www.erste-am.com. A summary of the investor rights is available in German and English on the website www.erste-am.com/investor-rights and can also be obtained from the Management Company.

The Management Company can decide to suspend the provisions it has taken for the sale of unit certificates in other countries in accordance with the regulatory requirements.

Note: You are about to purchase a product that may be difficult to understand. We recommend that you read the indicated fund documents before making an investment decision. In addition to the locations listed above, you can obtain these documents free of charge at the offices of the referring Sparkassen bank and the offices of Erste Bank der oesterreichischen Sparkassen AG. You can also access these documents electronically at www.erste-am.com.

N.B.: The performance scenarios listed in the key information document are based on a calculation method that is specified in an EU regulation. The future market development cannot be accurately predicted. The depicted performance scenarios merely present potential earnings, but are based on the earnings in the recent past. The actual earnings may be lower than indicated. Our analyses and conclusions are general in nature and do not take into account the individual characteristics of our investors in terms of earnings, taxation, experience and knowledge, investment objective, financial position, capacity for loss, and risk tolerance.

Please note: Past performance is not a reliable indicator of the future performance of a fund. Investments in securities entail risks in addition to the opportunities presented here. The value of units and their earnings can rise and fall. Changes in exchange rates can also have a positive or negative effect on the value of an investment. For this reason, you may receive less than your originally invested amount when you redeem your units. Persons who are interested in purchasing units in investment funds are advised to read the current fund prospectus(es) and the Information for Investors pursuant to § 21 AIFMG, especially the risk notices they contain, before making an investment decision. If the fund currency is different than the investor’s home currency, changes in the relevant exchange rate can positively or negatively influence the value of the investment and the amount of the costs associated with the fund in the home currency.

We are not permitted to directly or indirectly offer, sell, transfer, or deliver this financial product to natural or legal persons whose place of residence or domicile is located in a country where this is legally prohibited. In this case, we may not provide any product information, either.

Please consult the corresponding information in the fund prospectus and the Information for Investors pursuant to § 21 AIFMG for restrictions on the sale of the fund to American or Russian citizens.

It is expressly noted that this communication does not provide any investment recommendations, but only expresses our current market assessment. Thus, this communication is not a substitute for investment advice, does not take into account the legal regulations aimed at promoting the independence of financial analyses, and is not subject to a prohibition on trading following the distribution of financial analyses.

This document does not represent a sales activity of the Management Company and therefore may not be construed as an offer for the purchase or sale of financial or investment instruments.

Erste Asset Management GmbH is affiliated with the referring Sparkassen banks and Erste Bank.

Please also read the “Information about us and our securities services” published by your bank.

Subject to misprints and errors.

Share post:
Exit mobile version