Erste Asset Management

8 results for "Monthly archive:February 27, 2018"

Monthly archive:February 27, 2018

Ten new determining factors for the capital market
Ten new determining factors for the capital market
(c) Fotolia

Ten new determining factors for the capital market

The economic environment for the capital markets is subject to change as we speak. About one and a half years ago, the global economy shifted from recovery to boom, which was very advantageous for the markets. The features were strong, broadly based economic growth, low inflation, very supportive monetary policies, good earnings growth, and limited price fluctuations on the markets. We have now started leaving this best of all worlds (“Goldilocks scenario”) in more and more categories.

Inflation worries weighing on stock exchanges
Inflation worries weighing on stock exchanges
(c) iStock

Inflation worries weighing on stock exchanges

In the past two days, the stock exchanges, spearheaded by the New York Stock Exchange, have shed the entire previous gains of 2018. Even last week, inflation worries had started to weigh on the markets. But the recent reaction was extraordinarily strong, with experts likening it to the excellent employment report in the US. We have asked Peter Szopo, our equity strategist, about the current market situation.

Inflation: a general overview – Part 1
Inflation: a general overview – Part 1
(c) iStock

Inflation: a general overview – Part 1

At the moment the environment on the markets is very supportive. The economy is booming, the big central banks are still buying government bonds on aggregate and are thus keeping yields low, and the tax reform in the USA has improved the sentiment further over the past weeks. In addition, most asset managers agree on the status quo. Given this background, people ask “when will the party end?”. An increase in inflation is (one of) the usual suspect(s).