Erste Asset Management - Blog

Posts on: Equities
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Gast-AutorIn / Guest Author am 17th May 2017

Afterthoughts on the Turkish referendum

(c) Fotolia

Author: Sevda Sarp
Research Analyst

After the ballots were counted on 16 April 2017, the state-run Anadolu news agency reported that “Yes” had won by securing 51.4% of the votes, which was later also confirmed by the Electoral Commission. Serious concerns were raised by the OSCE. It is also important to note that the referendum took place during a “state of emergency”. That is to say, in a highly repressive climate in which the President and the government controlled the media, jailed critical journalists and leaders of pro-Kurdish parliamentary opposition, and arbitrarily detained and prosecuted the President’s opponents. The result of the referendum has paved the way for the most controversial changes that Turkey has faced in its history.

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Paul Severin am 12th May 2017

What investors can learn from Maria Theresia and the Vienna stock exchange

(c) akg-images / picturedesk.com

Austria celebrates the 300th birthday of Maria Theresa. She was born on 13 May 1717 in Vienna. It was her who founded the Vienna stock exchange in 1771 on the basis of an imperial patent (see image), after an earlier, failed attempt in 1761. Even though a lot has changed politically, economically, and technically since then, the eventful history of the Vienna stock exchange is still very instructive for every investor.

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Harald Egger am 03rd May 2017

Stock exchange rules – myth or reality

(c) iStock

“SELL IN MAY AND GO AWAY (BUT REMEMBER TO COME BACK IN SEPTEMBER)”

Who has not heard of the old stock exchange rule “Sell in May and go away” – sometimes complemented by “but remember to come back in September”. We had a closer look at this adage and have analysed the performance on the global stock exchanges over the past 48 years. To this end, we looked at an index that measures exactly that: the company MSCI launched its MSCI World index on 1 January 1970, This is also the start date of our analysis.

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Gast-AutorIn / Guest Author am 28th March 2017

Megatrends in the IT sector

Author: Bernhard Ruttenstorfer
Senior Fundmanager Equities

At this year’s IT trade fair CEBIT, the focus was on robots that support humans in their daily routine; on drones that can be used for difficult jobs in the field such as oil rigs; driverless electro busses that are steered by sensors and accelerate and stop autonomously; and various other technological innovations that are no fiction but have in fact already entered our daily lives. Of what relevance are they for the economy, for companies, for consumers – and for investors?

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Gabriela Tinti am 03rd March 2017

Equity performance: focus on emerging markets

The stock exchanges in the emerging economies and their performances have fallen short of expectations in recent years. Speculations about the weakening economy of China, the decline of commodity prices, and an appreciating US dollar have had a detrimental effect on emerging markets. However, the trust of investors in these markets has been making a comeback since 2016. In spite of Donald Trump’s election victory and the fear of a US policy of protectionism, the emerging economies are currently outperforming the developed ones.

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Harald Egger am 16th February 2017

5 facts that favour dividends

(c) Fotolia

Many investors focus on capital gains while disregarding the significance of dividends. And are wrong in doing so, from my point of view. The total return of a share is after all the sum of capital gains (i.e. rising prices) and dividend income. Income from dividends is of particular relevance for investors with a long-term investment horizon.

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Peter Szopo am 07th February 2017

Equities: Threats and opportunities of rising interest rates

(c) iStock

US interest rates are on the rise. It took the Federal Reserve Bank (“Fed”) twelve months, after the initial lift-off in December 2015, to make the second move, but for two reasons the odds of more frequent rate hikes over the next twelve months have increased. First, the Fed has turned more hawkish and second, inflation expectations have started ticking higher. Only recently, Chairwoman Yellen warned that “waiting too long to begin moving toward the neutral rate could risk a nasty surprise down the road–either too much inflation, financial instability, or both.

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Peter Szopo am 20th January 2017

Equity investors: Are they ignoring risks?

© iStock.com

The year 2016 was full of surprises. It was, for example, the year, when an outsider overcame odds of 5000 to 1 to win the Premier League. It was also the year, when the lyrics of three-minute pop songs were acknowledged to be an art form worth the Literature Nobel. Most importantly, however, politics in the Western hemisphere surprised big time with the vote for Brexit and the election of Donald Trump as the next US president.

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Gerold Permoser am 19th January 2017

Outlook 2017: Global Economy to pick up

In our annual press conference I have presented the most relevant topics for the investment year 2017. The most relevant ones are: stronger expected global growth, an increase in inflation and elevated event risks due to political reasons.

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Harald Egger am 05th January 2017

The year 2016 was full of broken trends on the stock exchanges

© Fotolia.de

Another year has passed, and it is time to look back. The year on the stock exchanges started out worse than in a long time. After only a few trading days, losses averaged 10%. The fear of economic turbulences originating in China dominated the markets. Meanwhile the currency of choice during a crisis, gold, was picking up speed, gaining 20% within a short period of time.

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